Abstract

The advent of fully automated road vehicles is a topic currently getting attention in the field of transport as well as futures research: the technology is assumed to radically change the way we move in the future as well as to expand and differentiate existing mobility concepts. Still, the implications of automated driving are first and foremost discussed from a technological point of view and uncertainty about how this transition might take place remains. The embedding in the system of automobility respectively the transport system as a whole, currently lacks analytical as well as empirical examination. In our paper, we will discuss the topic in relation to three possible sociotechnical transition scenarios: (1) evolution, (2) revolution and (3) transformation. We will extrapolate different scenarios of automated driving based on current technical, economic, infrastructural, spatial, and transport developments and discuss its consequences for the transport system and mobility concepts.

Details

Title
Transition pathways to fully automated driving and its implications for the sociotechnical system of automobility
Author
Fraedrich, Eva 1 ; Beiker, Sven 2 ; Lenz, Barbara 3 

 Geography Department – Transport Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany 
 Palo Alto, CA, USA 
 German Aerospace Center, Institute of Transport Research, Berlin, Germany 
Pages
1-11
Publication year
2015
Publication date
Dec 2015
Publisher
Springer Nature B.V.
ISSN
21954194
e-ISSN
21952248
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
1774952127
Copyright
European Journal of Futures Research is a copyright of Springer, (2015). All Rights Reserved., © 2015. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.