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Abstract
En este artículo se propone una cronología ó “fechado” del ciclo económico clásico para un período extenso de la economía de Chile (1817-2015). Para la determinación de los puntos de giro se ha utilizado la metodología propuesta por Harding y Pagan (2002b), y complementado el análisis con una breve revisión de antecedentes históricos que ayudan a contextualizar los períodos identificados.
Los resultados nos permiten concluir que el ciclo económico de Chile es principalmente de naturaleza idiosincrática que se entre cruza con factores exógenos. Sus períodos de recesión han estado vinculados principalmente a: problemas de inestabilidad política, crisis bancarias, deuda pública, crisis en el sector minero y conflictos bélicos.
Alternate abstract:
This paper presents a chronology and “dating” classic business cycle for an extended period of economy of Chile (1817-2015). For determination of turning points has been used the methodology proposed by Harding and Pagan (2002b) and supplemented the analysis with a brief review of historical background that help contextualize the periods identified. We conclude that the business cycle of Chile is mostly idiosyncratic nature that crosses between exogenous factors. Their periods of recession have been linked mainly to: problems of political instability, banking crisis, public debt, crisis in the mining sector and armed conflicts.
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